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BTCUSD declined after a minor pullback of nearly $3000.It hit a low of $55602 and is currently trading at around $56766.
The recession fears in US putting pressure on riskier assets like BTC and equities at higher levels.
A whale has purchased 1000 BTC worth $57.3 million on Binance today. In the last 4 days, this same person accumulated 2,000 BTC.
BTC ETF has seen an outflow of $325 million in the past two days led by Fidelity BTC ETF over $170 million.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep decreased to 55% from 62% a week ago.
US markets -
NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC) - Bearish (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ trades weak ahead of US employment data. Any close above 20000 will take the index to 20500.
Technicals-
BTCUSD trades below the short-term moving average of 34- EMA and 55 EMA and the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.
In daily chart also BTC holds below the short and long-term moving average. This confirms a minor weakness.
Minor support- $54000. Any break below will take it to the next level at $53000/$50000/$46000.
Bull case-
Primary supply zone -$61200. Any break above confirms a bullish continuation. A jump to $61800/$63000/$65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.
Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.
Indicator (4-hour chart)
CCI (14)- Bearish
CCI (50)- Bearish
Average directional movement Index - bearish
It is good to sell on rallies around $59745-750 with SL around $56000 for TP of $50000.
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