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Despite not reaching its March all-time high, Bitcoin's current metrics indicate a stable bull market, with no significant bubble formation, according to recent analysis.
Bitcoin Price Follows Positive Trend Amid Bull Cycle
The price of Bitcoin has not yet recovered to its March all-time high, but according to an analyst, there are no indications of a severe downturn in the bull market based on two important criteria, Cointelegraph shares.
Axel Adler, a researcher at CryptoQuant, cited the Bubble vs. Crush Market Structure and the MVRV Z-score in a study dated August 18th, suggesting that the present price movement of Bitcoin is following a positive trend.
Stable Bitcoin Bull Cycle with No Major Fluctuations
“We can see that the current bull cycle is developing quite steadily without significant anomalies or sharp jumps,” Adler remarked.
Adler brought attention to the fact that the Bubble vs. Crush Market Structure has fallen below 1.02, which he calls "the baseline," implying that Bitcoin is not presently in a bubble.
When the market value of Bitcoin "grows faster" than its actual value, a bubble forms. After Bitcoin's all-time high of $73,679, the indicator, which had a score of about 1.5, began to signal a bubble.
According to data from CoinMarketCap, the price dropped 16% to $61,930 less than one week later.
Bitcoin continues to face difficulties in maintaining its recent gains over the $60,000 mark, which traders see as a critical support and resistance level. Since July 22, Bitcoin's price has fluctuated between $49,842 and $69,799. This range represents a 40% variation.
The current price of one Bitcoin is $59,236.
MVRV Z-Score Reflects Minimal Bitcoin Overvaluation
At 1.8, just over BTC's yearly average of 1.6, Bitcoin's 30-day Moving Average (DMA) MVRV Z-Score indicates "minimal overvaluation," according to Adler.
An overbought asset may soon see a market correction if the 30DMA MVRV Z-Score surges, which may be seen by traders.
Before Bitcoin hit a peak of $60,701 in March 2021, the asset's 30DMA MVRV Z-Score was over 5. By July of the same year, the asset had fallen 45 percent, to $32,827.
Key Metrics Indicate Bitcoin Is Not Overvalued
To determine if Bitcoin is "overvalued," one can use either the Bubble vs. Crush or the MVRV-Z score.
Adler further stated, “As long as the metric does not reach extreme levels that could signal a significant risk of correction, the market can be considered bullish.”
Bitcoin Consolidation Draws Attention from Traders
The prolonged consolidation of Bitcoin has recently been the subject of commentary from a number of traders.
Ash Crypto, a pseudonymous cryptocurrency trader, wrote in an August 20 X post:
At the same time, anonymous cryptocurrency dealer Rekt Capital mentioned that:
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