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Bitcoin Options Signal Range-Bound Stability as Traders Harvest Volatility

Bitcoin Options Signal Range-Bound Stability as Traders Harvest Volatility. Source: Image by Temel from Pixabay

Bitcoin’s derivatives market is pointing toward stability rather than a dramatic breakout or crash, as options activity on Deribit suggests BTC is likely to trade within a well-defined range in the near term. With Bitcoin hovering around the $87,000–$88,000 level, traders are increasingly positioning themselves to profit from sideways price action, a strategy commonly referred to as volatility harvesting.

Data from Deribit, analyzed by market maker Wintermute, shows strong downside support near $85,000 driven by heavy put selling. Put options pay out if Bitcoin falls below a certain price, so selling puts at this level indicates confidence among traders that BTC will hold above $85,000. This activity often creates a self-reinforcing floor, as put sellers may hedge their exposure by buying Bitcoin in the spot or futures market if prices approach the strike. Notably, the $85,000 put is one of the most active contracts across all expiries, with notional open interest exceeding $2 billion, highlighting its importance as a key support zone. Additional downside buffers are also visible around $80,000 and $75,000.

On the upside, resistance appears to be forming between $95,000 and $100,000 due to significant call option selling. Many Bitcoin holders are engaging in call overwriting, selling call options against their existing BTC positions to earn premium income. While this strategy generates yield, it also caps upside potential, as call sellers may be forced to sell Bitcoin if prices rally sharply. The $100,000 call option currently holds the highest notional open interest at roughly $2.37 billion, suggesting limited market conviction for an immediate move into six-figure territory.

Together, this put and call selling activity implies that traders expect Bitcoin volatility to remain contained. By selling both sides of the options market, participants are effectively betting on range-bound price action, allowing options to decay in value over time. As long as BTC continues to trade sideways, these contracts may expire worthless, enabling sellers to retain the full premiums. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading near $87,400, reinforcing the view that the market is consolidating rather than preparing for an explosive move.

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Great article. Requesting a follow-up. Excellent analysis.

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Great article. Requesting a follow-up. Excellent analysis.
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