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Bitcoin Breakout Looms: Bulls Hold $44k Support in Anticipation of ETF Decision

The upcoming spot Bitcoin ETF decision and impending U.S. inflation data are poised to bring about a significant shift in BTC price dynamics in the days ahead.

Tue, 09 Jan 2024, 01:32 am UTC

As Bitcoin closes in on the first weekly cycle of 2024, the cryptocurrency market is bracing for potential shifts in BTC price dynamics.

The spotlight is on the imminent decision regarding approving or denying the United States' inaugural spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Investors are also closely monitoring forthcoming U.S. inflation data. These factors collectively contribute to an environment of heightened volatility and uncertainty.

Market Sentiments Amid ETF Decision

Over the weekend, BTC consolidated price movements, reflecting a level of apprehension among market participants.

The impending decision on the spot Bitcoin ETF, expected by January 10, looms large, with diverse expectations on how BTC/USD will respond.

According to Coin Telegraph, analysts foresee a potential temporary setback for bulls in a "sell the news" event following approval. However, speculation is also about a possible surge, challenging crucial psychological price levels.

Indicators Pointing to an Imminent Breakout

Analysts and traders are closely observing indicators that hint at an imminent breakout from the current narrow intraday range.

The Bollinger Bands volatility indicator, a reliable tool for predicting range expansion, is notably tightening on daily timeframes. Matthew Hyland, a trader and commentator, highlighted this development, emphasizing the significance of Bollinger Bands tightening in the lead-up to the ETF decision.

Daan Crypto Trades, another market observer, drew attention to reactivating the "spot premium" on Bitcoin markets.

This phenomenon suggests a cautious approach among derivatives traders, possibly influenced by the memories of recent snap liquidations.

According to Bloomberg, the prolonged consolidation around the current price level is seen as a potential catalyst for building positions, with associated stop losses and liquidations hovering above and below the prevailing price.

As the crypto community awaits the unfolding events, the narrowing volatility and various technical indicators suggest that the market is on the verge of a notable shift in BTC price dynamics, with the ETF decision poised to be a key determining factor.

Photo: Dmytro Demidko/Unsplash

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