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Ray Dalio Highlights Bitcoin’s Limitations Despite Long-Term Investment

Ray Dalio Highlights Bitcoin’s Limitations Despite Long-Term Investment. Source: Web Summit, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio has offered new clarity on his bitcoin holdings, revealing he has maintained about 1% of his portfolio in BTC “forever.” While Dalio has long expressed interest in bitcoin as an alternative asset, he reiterated that the cryptocurrency still faces major hurdles before it can be considered a true global reserve asset.

Speaking to CNBC, Dalio emphasized that bitcoin’s traceability and public transparency make it unlikely that major governments will adopt it as a reserve currency. He also pointed to potential vulnerabilities, especially as quantum computing advances. According to Dalio, the idea that governments would rely on a system that permanently records every transaction on a public ledger is unrealistic. He added that the possibility of future quantum attacks presents another barrier to bitcoin’s long-term stability.

Despite this, Dalio has previously urged investors to allocate around 15% of their portfolios to bitcoin and gold. He still prefers gold for its physical, self-custodial nature, noting that unlike digital assets, physical gold does not rely on external infrastructure or digital security.

Dalio also issued a broader warning about the U.S. economy, saying it is nearly 80% of the way into a financial bubble similar to those that preceded the 1929 market crash and the dot-com collapse of 2000. His assessment is based on his long-term “bubble indicator,” which analyzes historical data back to 1900. The tool evaluates factors such as leverage levels, money supply expansion, and wealth concentration to determine whether asset prices are becoming dangerously inflated.

According to Dalio, these indicators now show the U.S. is firmly in bubble territory, suggesting rising risks for investors. While he sees value in diversification—especially into assets like bitcoin and gold—he remains cautious about treating bitcoin as a future reserve currency due to unresolved structural and technological challenges.

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Great article. Requesting a follow-up. Excellent analysis.

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Great article. Requesting a follow-up. Excellent analysis.
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