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Markus Thielen, a prominent figure at 10X Research, recently unveiled his price target for Bitcoin (BTC) in 2024. He projects a substantial rally of approximately 65% from current levels.
Thielen anticipates Bitcoin to surge to $70,000 by the end of the year, citing various factors contributing to this optimistic outlook.
Factors Driving Thielen Forecast
Thielen underscores the supportive macroeconomic environment and monetary tailwinds as key drivers behind Bitcoin's projected rally in his report.
Additionally, he highlights the ongoing U.S. election cycle and the increasing demand from Traditional Finance (TradFi) investors allocating funds to Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as significant catalysts for the cryptocurrency's ascent. Thielen's analysis suggests that these combined factors create a conducive environment for Bitcoin to achieve the $70,000 milestone by the conclusion of 2024.
Rationale Behind Thielen Analysis
Addressing the subdued price action observed earlier in the year, Thielen offers insights into Bitcoin's historical performance.
While Bitcoin has witnessed rallies in 10 out of its 13 years of existence, January returns have been more mixed, with seven up years compared to six down years. Despite this variability, Thielen remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, supported by fundamental factors and market dynamics.
Reflecting on his past predictions, Thielen notes his accurate forecast regarding Bitcoin's price nearly doubling to $45,000 by the end of 2023. While his prediction regarding the approval of spot ETFs in January did not materialize, Thielen correctly anticipated the subsequent price retracement to the mid-to-high $30,000 range.
Insights into Market Dynamics
According to Coin Desk, Thielen provides insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, suggesting a potential rate cut possibly scheduled for May or June. Despite lower-than-expected inflation and sustained economic growth, Thielen maintains a positive outlook on Bitcoin's trajectory, given its historical resilience and market dynamics.
Thielen also highlights the correlation between U.S. presidential election cycles and Bitcoin halving years, which has historically contributed to bullish price trends.
According to Fxstreet, Bitcoin experienced significant gains during these cycles, with an average increase of 192% across the years 2012, 2016, and 2020.
Overall, Thielen's analysis paints a bullish picture for Bitcoin's future, driven by a confluence of macroeconomic factors, market dynamics, and historical trends, culminating in a projected rally to $70,000 by the end of 2024.
Photo: Kanchanara / Unsplash
